The Covid-19 pandemic has put all but essential travel on hold, and no one can yet answer when we’ll be free to go away again. But should we be planning future travel now?
Risk-free cheap flights — for now
The short answer is yes.
You can start planning and booking today, depending on your flexibility, risk tolerance and willingness to take an active role in following the latest developments.
“What we’re telling our customers is that they book flights now for future travel, because prices are going to be as cheap as you’ve seen since 2001, and then they’re going to increase sharply when demand rebounds.”
The deals are pretty astounding. “For peak summer, peak New Year’s Eve and Christmas flights, we’re seeing flights to Europe and South America for a few hundred dollars round-trip. And people are actually booking them.”
The next interesting thing is the cancellation policies, which are usually very strict. Every time you have to change or cancel a flight, you’d expect to pay a few hundred dollars to change plus any fare difference.
“Now, the majority of major US carriers are offering free change fees and cancellations,” he said.
And it’s important to remember that if a flight is canceled and there’s no reasonable rebooking option, airlines are required by law to issue you a refund.
Don’t take a voucher or a credit when you’re entitled to get your money back. Airlines may entice you to take the credit, by offering bonuses, but the choice is yours.
Hotels and homestays also offering more flexibility
Hotels, too, are loosening up their relatively fair cancellation and rebooking policies.
Arne Sorenson, president and CEO of Marriott International, wrote to customers on April 8, “For guests making new reservations for any future arrival date, including reservations with pre-paid rates, between March 13 and June 30, 2020, we will allow the reservation to be changed or canceled at no charge up to 24 hours before your scheduled arrival date.”
This is important because pre-paid rates are usually discounted and nonrefundable.
Airbnb has been in the news for its initial Covid-19 cancellation restrictions, which did not cover bookings that weren’t in countries that were on lockdown.
They’ve since expanded their “extenuating circumstances” policy to include all bookings that were made before March 14 for travel through May 31. Any bookings outside of those parameters remain under their standard cancellation policy, “except where the guest or host is currently sick with Covid-19.”
What are travelers planning?
The last two groups are, for the most part, going to travel nine months from now, most people are looking to rebook within a year.
“The people who are wait-and-see mode are actually closer in and who aren’t canceling or postponing because if the trip is canceled for you, you are entitled to more benefits.”
Virtuoso advisers are bracing for an influx of bookings in the next six to eight weeks. And those bookings are likely to be for travel during the winter holiday season, late November to early January.
As to where travelers might be headed when the time comes, Belles says, “People will need the opportunity to unwind and clear their head — so we’re anticipating spa, wellness, beach vacations, places with wide open spaces, ranches in Wyoming or national parks.”
Making plans will make you happy
Saving money and added flexibility are alluring incentives to book now for travel later in the year. But there’s another benefit: Planning a trip can make you happy.
So, if you decide to make travel plans, you’re very likely to experience this “pre-trip happiness.”
The study goes on to report, “Need theory can explain the pre-trip high if one assumes that we have an innate need for wandering, possibly a leftover of our hunter-gatherer past and that this need can already be partially gratified by anticipation.”
Belles, who had to cancel a family spring break vacation, says that once it’s safe, she and her family are heading straight to the beach.
“I need the zen of sitting there, exhaling, watching my kids play in the surf.”
Policies at a glance
The last analysis
Travel companies are constantly updating and revising their Covid-19 travel policies.
It is imperative for anyone who is booking travel to apprise themselves of these policies and to know what their options are regarding refunds, waivers and rebookings.
Taking a proactive approach to protect your travel investment is the wisest course.